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Post by yogibearbull on Sept 20, 2023 1:08:37 GMT
While 2Y, 5Y, 10Y yields continue to rise, 3M yields have flattened. stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$IRX&p=D&b=5&g=0&id=p27637493828In fact, last three 3M T-Bill Auctions (9/5/23, 9/11/123, 9/18/23) were at the SAME discounted price of 98.656486 (matching 6 decimal digits!). I have seen same prices for 2 Auctions, but for three Auctions? Stockcharts for 3M yields shows flattening but not to this extent. I watch 2-yr FRN index and it hasn't moved since 9/6/23 (good to 9/25/23) and is STUCK at 5.387380201 (that is 9 decimal digits!). It is supposed to adjust weekly based on 3M Auctions, so I looked at recent 3M Auctions. Another observation for FIDO: In a cash-account (without margin), Fidelity didn't allow purchase for 3M T-Bill Auction on Monday when a 3M T-Bill was also maturing on the following Thursday; in theory, both could settle normally on Thursday. I didn't call Fido. In hindsight, all my Treasury purchases had been in accounts with margin (or with sufficient funds in the core account), and then this hasn't been an issue.
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Post by yogibearbull on Sept 25, 2023 16:04:33 GMT
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Post by yogibearbull on Oct 29, 2023 14:39:38 GMT
Duplicate from "T-Bill musings" big-bang-investors.proboards.com/post/43201/thread3m T-Bill yields have been flatlined for weeks. However, 5y, 10y, 30y yields continue to rise due to the activities of bond vigilantes. stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$IRX&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p75815768413Similar for 6m, stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$UST6M&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p70310329310This means that m-mkt funds and ultra-ST funds have all caught up with T-Bills. So, starting this week I am discontinuing T-Bill rolls and parking money into m-mkt funds, ultra-ST funds (USFR, ICSH), or extend maturities in some other ways (e.g multisector or HY). It may be a bit early, but my T-Bills will continue to roll off into 2024, and not all would happen right away.
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