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Post by xray on Jan 11, 2021 16:17:10 GMT
KYN has been "IMPROVING" the last few weeks. With that said....
KYN [single opinion numb3rs analysis] COB Friday:
MktPc 6.51
Best MktBuyPrc going forward: 6.15
MTB: +1.05 [must be >+1.07]
Positive Investor buying activity last week: +0.36 [+0.23 required]
Discount: +1.19 [Very Favorable]
Last Insider MktBuyPrc: 6.44 [for 15,000sh]
Dividend: 9.22% [$0.15/Qtr = $0.60/Yr] ... R72=7.81Yrs
Dividend Sustainablity: +4314 [need minimum +3382]
NAV: 7.75
Change in NAV last week: +0.62/sh
Intrinsic Value change last week: +0.36
NAV performance last week: +314 [was +298]
Report Card Grade: 83 "Good" [0-100 grading]
Power Reading for this week: 87 [must be higher than report card grade]
Projected Grade [looking forward]: 95
Star Rating: 10star [0-10 star grading]
13wk Star Rating: 8.29 stars
"RISK" Factor for portfolio inclusion [Rf]: +1.068 [+1.335 needed]
Total analysis numb3rs: 2106/3218 [1000-1400 is defined as trading range, 1400/2000 Buy cycle]
Disclosure: Some of us are currently holding a phase #2 [dollar cost averaging] position [4%-6%] in our current portfolio....
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Post by xray on Jan 26, 2021 19:56:25 GMT
Some of us have other "OIL" related securities in portfolio [not CEF's] for dividends and CapGains....
GLP and HESM announced dividend increases today [as expected]:
GLP increased dividend to $0.55 from $0.50/Qtr [now $2.20/Yr] ... Payment will be paid from October 1st thru 12/31/2020 ... x-div 2/8, Pay 2/12....
HESM increased dividend to $0.4471 /Qtr [$1.7884/Yr] .... x-div 2/2, Pay 2/12
Live Long and Prosper....
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Post by retiredat48 on Jan 27, 2021 5:43:39 GMT
Thanks xray...or "eddie" from M* forum....correct?
R48
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Post by xray on Jan 27, 2021 17:05:30 GMT
To R48:
Yup .... Don't use names anymore as website appears not to use them....
Good to hear from you again. Hope all is well. Keep safe....
Live Long and Prosper....
xray
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Post by xray on Jan 27, 2021 17:35:09 GMT
Good time today to talk about "down markets" and corrective markets [DOW currently down -400+].This is directed to "Dividend & CapGain" oriented retiree's [like myself].... When down markets occur [and always do] there is normally "very little" CapGain [if any]. If/this was to occur until "the end of the year", then what is the reason we were in the market in the first place??? Was it to take on further on-going "losses" in our portfolio's during the year [or potential losses]  "ALWAYS" Owning dividend securities that were originally paying 10+% "at the time of our buying them", means that we will have a 10% dividend [plus/minus 2% should div's be cut, or increases during the decline] for our "FINAL" goals & Objectives for the current year.... The "new" thinking by investors is that we can not buy & Hold forever. Doesn't work anymore [IMHO]. If/when we sell for CapGain, and buyback occur's at a different MktPrc and we will then have a "new" MktBuyPrc [average] and the dividend will increase/decrease accordingly. The same security can be bought and sold "continually" when either undervalued or overvalued [by analysis]... Currently, some of us already have >10% average dividend in our current portfolio's with current CapGain >5% and now we already have met our normal yearly "Goals & Objectives" of 15%/Yr [10% div + 5% CapGain] in the "1st Qtr" [which is highly unusual as it was last year]. If markets were to "collapse", we would be left with the 15%/Yr. We realize that many retiree's currently make a lot more with "more" risk but "RISK" will always direct our current/future buying/selling activity along with realistic yearly "Goals & Objectives".... Bottom Line: There is "GOLD" in them hills [securities currently undervalued by analysis and/or income investors avoiding them for many different reasons] , but we have to pan for it.... |
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Post by xray on Feb 1, 2021 21:36:46 GMT
GLP hit a new MktPrc High today....
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Post by xray on Oct 17, 2021 18:39:49 GMT
KYN has been "IMPROVING"....
KYN Profile:
MLP Energy Sector/Infrastructure
KYN [single opinion numb3rs analysis] COB Friday:
Comment: KYN still a "Penny Stock" [<$10/sh]
........................................... January 11 ................................................... COB Friday 10/15
MktPc 6.51 ................................................................................................ 8.83
Best MktBuyPrc going forward: 6.15 ............................................................. 8.36
MTB: +1.05 [must be >+1.07] .................................................................. +1.04 [need >+1.01]
Positive Investor buying activity last week: +0.36 [+0.23 required] ................ +0.42 [need >-0.04]
Discount: +1.19 [Very Favorable] ............................................................... +1.10 [need >-0.98]
Last Insider MktBuyPrc: 6.44 [for 15,000sh] ................................................ same [no change]
Dividend: 9.22% ... R72=7.81Yrs ............................................................... 8.49% [need >9.45%] Div increased to $0.175/monthly
Last dividend paid: .................................................................................... x-div 10/1, pay 10/8
[$0.15/Qtr = $0.60/Yr] .............................................................................. [$0.175/Qtr = $0.70/Yr]
Dividend Sustainablity: +4314 [need minimum +3382].................................. +111 [need >+151]
NAV: 7.75 ................................................................................................ 9.70
Change in NAV Growth from 2020: ........................................................... +2.57 [need >+2.12]
Change in NAV last week: +0.62/sh .......................................................... +0.42/sh
Intrinsic Value change last week: +0.36 .................................................... +1.34
NAV analysis performance last week: +314 [was +298] .............................. +372 [need >+305]
Total analysis scoring to date: .................................................................. +814 [need >+668]
Report Card Grade: 83 "Good" [0-100 grading] ............................................. 97
Power Reading for this week: 87 [must be higher than report card grade] ........ 100
Lowest power reading 13-wk period ............................................................ +83
Projected Grade [looking forward]: 95 ......................................................... 100
Star Rating: 10star [0-10 star grading] ....................................................... 10star [last 4-wk period]
13wk Star Rating: 8.29 stars ..................................................................... 9.67 stars
"RISK" Factor for portfolio inclusion [Rf]: +1.068 [+1.335 needed] ................ +0.459 [need >+4.64]
MTB ....................................................................................................... +1.04 [need >+1.01]
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Comment: Analysis Data shows end of having "Penny Stock" status next year [>$10]....
Disclosure: Some of us are currently holding a
phase #2 [dollar cost averaging] position [4%-6%] in our current portfolio ...... Phase #4 [8%-10%] ... High Risk Rf level
Live Long and Prosper....
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Post by richardsok on Oct 19, 2021 11:53:27 GMT
WSJ has been reporting on Mexican government seizing large foreign-owned oil & energy assets, violating N Am trade agreements. Evidently AMLO determined that the state will thoroughly control sales, pricing and transmission of energy. Seeks also to find inducements to help sell its undesirable high-sulfur crude. And, of course, Mexican corruption is always a consideration -- amassing new assets creates happy new opportunities for embezzlement. We'll see if the Biden administration pushes back, and how hard. Nevertheless, may be a problematic wrinkle investing in energy funds holding assets in Mexico. Don't know if this can pass the paywall, but --- www.wsj.com/articles/mexico-american-assets-obrador-amlo-energy-11634496785?mod=hp_trending_now_opn_pos1 |
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Post by xray on Oct 20, 2021 10:06:06 GMT
Good news for "current" Oil Shareholders:
Oilprice.com
Forget $100, Options Traders Now Betting On Oil Prices Hitting $200
Editor OilPrice.com
Tue, October 19, 2021, 8:00 PM
As oil prices hit multi-year highs, some speculative traders are betting on the options market that oil could exceed $100 a barrel by the end of this year and even reach a record $200 per barrel by the end of 2022.
Call options give traders the right—but not the obligation—to buy assets at a certain price, the so-called strike price, by a certain date.
The amounts of call options at triple-digit strikes have soared in recent weeks, suggesting that more speculative traders are attracted by potential quick profits from options trades, which are relatively low-cost ways to speculate on the direction of an asset.
Some “wild” bets such as call options at a $100 per barrel WTI Crude strike by December 2021 or $200 per barrel Brent Crude by December 2022 have been placed in recent weeks, The Wall Street Journal reports, citing data from provider QuikStrike.
For example, at the end of September, call options at Brent at $200 a barrel for December 2022 traded 1,300 times in one day, amid a worsening energy crunch in Europe and Asia ahead of the winter heating season in the northern hemisphere.
In WTI, the number of outstanding call options with $100 per barrel strike price with different expiry dates has surged five times since early February 2021 to more than 141,000 contracts as of the middle of October, according to data from CME quoted by the Journal.
Other popular call options for WTI included strikes at $95 or $180, QuikStrike data reported by the Journal showed. These call options are speculative and mostly used by traders to bet on the direction of an underlying asset.
Yet, the resurgent activity with bets on $100 or $200 oil shows that more traders are getting into the energy market amid the global gas and coal crunch, and more of those speculators are bullish on oil prices. Moreover, the “crazy” strikes and their growing number are bound to increase the volatility in the oil market in the coming weeks and months, traders tell the Journal.
Surging natural gas prices, a cold winter, and reopening of international airline travel could push oil prices to $100 per barrel, Bank of America said in early October. But $100 oil could also trigger the next global economic crisis due to the high inflationary pressure, the bank noted.
Recovering global oil demand could send oil to $100 a barrel at some point at the end of 2022, despite COVID challenges to demand this coming winter, according to one of the world’s largest independent oil traders, Trafigura.
However, $100 oil—or even $85-plus oil—has its downsides for both producers and consumers. It could trigger demand destruction as it raises crude import bills and refining costs for oil importers. Rallying oil prices will also push already high inflation in many markets even higher, threatening the path of the economic recovery. Most central banks and the Fed continue to see upward inflationary pressure as transitory and expect it to go away in a few months.
For those betting on $100 oil, the leader of the OPEC+ alliance, Saudi Arabia, has a message: look beyond the end of this year; an oversupply is coming next year.
The oil market may be tight right now, but the gradual easing of the OPEC+ cuts and the expected increase in non-OPEC+ production—led by U.S. shale—point to supply exceeding demand next year. $100 oil is not such an outlandish bet as it would have been a year ago, but prices are unlikely to remain long at that level, even if they reach it. $200 oil looks like a much more speculative bet from traders attracted by the possibility of quick profits.
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Comment: Those of us who bought early into the energy sector are currently doing very well [including current dividends] but we need to keep in mind that anything that goes up will quickly correct on negative situations [looking forward] as the article suggests////
Disclosure: Some of us currently continue to have 20% of our portfolio committed to the oil sector....
Live Long and Prosper....
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Post by gman57 on Oct 20, 2021 12:58:11 GMT
I've noticed the following with oil/economy:
The last time gas got to $4 a gallon the economy slowed quite a bit. People who used to just jump in their cars and go someplace start to think in terms of "how much is it going to cost me" to take that trip, even local trips. IMHO $4 a gallon is the price when people cut way back on travel which effects everything else. Having said that... it may be able to creep over $4 a bit and survive this time... i.e. inflation.
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Post by uncleharley on Oct 20, 2021 13:22:58 GMT
Do you recall what the price of WTIC was when gas was $4 in your area? gman57, |
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Post by gman57 on Oct 20, 2021 14:36:58 GMT
Do you recall what the price of WTIC was when gas was $4 in your area? gman57 , No, that was back around 2008-2011. Like the stock market oil goes up and down. |
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Post by richardsok on Oct 20, 2021 15:59:09 GMT
$200 crude?
We'd see middle-class rioting first in northern states as heating costs would become extreme, then ruinous grocery inflation and shortages everywhere from prohibitive trucking costs.
I'm not about to say it couldn't happen, just that $200 crude sounds like hype. Still -- I'm not about to sell my COP.
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Post by xray on Oct 20, 2021 17:25:23 GMT
Gas [in some gas stations] was shown last night to already be at $4.97/gallon in New York [shown on the news with "very negative" comments by consumers]. You may not know this but some of us lived abroad for a number of years and the gas prices were always in the $5 range....
Live Long and Prosper....
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Post by uncleharley on Oct 20, 2021 21:31:20 GMT
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Post by xray on Oct 22, 2021 18:17:34 GMT
HESM News:
Zacks
New Strong Buy Stocks for October 22nd
Zacks Equity Research
Fri, October 22, 2021, 11:33 AM
HESM
-0.34%
Here are stocks added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List today:
Hess Midstream LP HESM: This operator, developer, and acquirer of midstream assets has seen the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 18% over the last 60 days.
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Hess Midstream LP owns, develops, operates, and acquires midstream assets. The company operates through three segments: Gathering; Processing and Storage; and Terminaling and Export. The Gathering segment owns natural gas gathering and crude oil gathering systems; and produced water gathering and disposal facilities. Its gathering systems consists of approximately 1,350 miles of high and low pressure natural gas and natural gas liquids gathering pipelines with capacity of approximately 450 million cubic feet per day; and crude oil gathering system comprises approximately 550 miles of crude oil gathering pipelines. The Processing and Storage segment comprises Tioga Gas Plant, a natural gas processing and fractionation plant located in Tioga, North Dakota; a 50% interest in the Little Missouri 4 gas processing plant located in south of the Missouri River in McKenzie County, North Dakota; and Mentor Storage Terminal, a propane storage cavern and rail, and truck loading and unloading facility located in Mentor, Minnesota. The Terminaling and Export segment owns Ramberg terminal facility; Tioga rail terminal; and crude oil rail cars, as well as Johnson's Corner Header System, a crude oil pipeline header system. Hess Midstream LP was founded in 2014 and is based in Houston, Texas.
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Comment: There were a few securities that the computers identified as being exceptional good performers and should be analyzed. With the analysis, HESM was identified as a "BUY". Some of us put a "toe" in the water on HESS [initial investment 0-2% ... "No Risk"] at the beginning of the month. Appears that HESS has been verified as something to look at for analysis....
Hess current analysis [COB last Friday] was 10star [10star average 13-wk average], Report card 100 with a Power Rating of 100, Previous weeks analysis score was +395 [need >+305], with a Rf [risk factor to our portfolio's] of +1.383 [need >+463]....
Live Long and Prosper....
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Post by xray on Apr 22, 2022 14:46:57 GMT
GlobeNewswire Green Plains Partners Increases Quarterly DistributionGreen Plains Partners LP Thu, April 21, 2022, 4:10 PM In this article: GPP +0.77% OMAHA, Neb., April 21, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Green Plains Partners LP (NASDAQ:GPP) today announced that the Board of Directors of its general partner declared a quarterly cash distribution of $0.445 per unit on all of its outstanding common units, or $1.78 per unit on an annualized basis, for the first quarter of 2022. The increase over the previous quarterly distribution of $0.44 per unit is the third consecutive increase. The distribution is payable on May 13, 2022, to unitholders of record at the close of business on May 6, 2022. This release serves as a qualified notice to nominees under Treasury Regulation Section 1.1446-4(b). Please note that 100% of Green Plains Partners’ distributions to foreign investors are attributable to income that is effectively connected with a U.S. trade or business. Accordingly, all of the partnership’s distributions to foreign investors are subject to U.S. federal income tax withholding at the highest effective tax rate. About Green Plains Partners LP Green Plains Partners LP (NASDAQ:GPP) is a fee-based Delaware limited partnership formed by Green Plains Inc. to provide fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage terminals, transportation assets and other related assets and businesses. For more information about Green Plains Partners, visit www.greenplainspartners.com. ----------- Comment: Started a position some time back but backed off a little with the market decline. Current numb3rs remain very good (COB last Friday).... -Book Value: 14.75 -Market Price: 14.02 -Dividend: 12.55% -Star Rating: 10 Stars (last 5/wk period) -Star Rating Average: 9.67 (last 13/wk period) -Weekly Analysis Performance: +366 (need >294) -Rf (risk factor for portfolio inclusion): +0.297 (need >+0.362) Disclosure: Some of continue to hold a current hold a position in GPP.... Live Long and Prosper.... |
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